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That's an interesting view Abers if slightly downbeat.
I would say that using your example, the only photographers that "make it" would be ones that had pushy parents that forced them to play football as a kid and had the money to fund their interest, travel up and down the country for trials etc and I don't see that example transferring fully to photography.
Many successful photographers come from all walks of life and make their imprint at all ages and though right place, time and breaks both social and economic can help and undoubtedly the big factor is talent but to say that the level of all in sites like Flickr or here is of a sub pro or at best sunday league level is a sweeping generalization as there are without a doubt some astounding photographers on both.
I'm not going to slate what you say as for the most I agree but I would say it's easy to see the banality out there but if you look long and hard enough you can find the diamonds in the coal field.
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